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A 33-day dry spell for solo Bitcoin miners ended last week when one small operator cracked a block that, statistically, should not have been cracked for decades.
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One Miner, One Block, One Very Long Shot
The winning miner earned 3.139 BTC — worth roughly $210,000 — after successfully validating block 943,411 on April 3. The payout included the standard 3.125 BTC block subsidy and approximately 0.014 BTC in transaction fees.
Data from mempool.space confirmed the transaction. The miner operated through CKPool, a platform built for independent operators who prefer to go it alone and keep most of what they earn.
What made the win remarkable was the hardware behind it. The miner’s setup ran at just 230 terahashes per second. At the time, Bitcoin’s total network hashrate sat at approximately 1 zettahash per second. That put the miner’s share of global computing power at around 0.00002% — a slice so thin it barely registers.
A solo Bitcoin miner with a small setup just hit the jackpot earning 3.139 BTC block rewards worth $210,000.
His setup was so small, he should statistically win once every 76 years. pic.twitter.com/z7s1LxIhZT
— Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) April 6, 2026
CKPool developer Con Kolivas put the daily odds of success at roughly 1 in 28,000. Bitcoin Archive analyst Archie framed it differently: a miner at that power level should statistically win once every 76 years. This particular miner didn’t wait that long.
Congratulations to miner bc1qtt7cr9cxykyp9g4hq47zf5lq9t97cxvq72lun3 with ~230TH for solving the 312th solo block at https://t.co/UWgBvLk5AE!
A miner of this size has a 1 in ~28k chance per day of solving a block.https://t.co/dx3lUuDRbl pic.twitter.com/uiDOzZdHts
— Dr -ck (@ckpooldev) April 2, 2026
A Pattern Of Unlikely Wins
The April win marked the 312th solo block ever mined through CKPool, based on data from the Bennet solo-miner tracker. It snapped a 33-day gap since the previous solo success, recorded on February 28.
But the result is far from an isolated case. Reports show a string of similar upsets over recent months. In December, a miner running at 270 TH/s walked away with more than $284,000.
Before that, a setup running at just 6 TH/s — far smaller than the latest winner — pulled in around $265,000. A 200 TH/s rig scored approximately $350,000 back in September.
Even rented computing power produced results: in late February, a miner reportedly spent about $75 on cloud hashrate and came away with close to $200,000 in rewards.
Each of those wins carried odds steep enough to discourage most rational participants. And yet they kept happening.
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Big Miners Head In A Different Direction
While independent operators occasionally pocket life-changing sums, large mining companies have been moving away from holding Bitcoin.
Riot Platforms sold 3,778 BTC in the first quarter of 2026, generating roughly $289 million, while still holding 15,680 BTC at quarter’s end.
MARA Holdings moved even faster, selling more than 15,000 BTC between early and late March to raise approximately $1.1 billion, using the proceeds to handle debt-related obligations.
Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
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