Stocks (^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC) and Treasury yields (^TNX ^TYX, ^FVX) are negatively correlated for the first time since the 2023 regional banking crisis. With so much volatility (^VIX) in the markets and a potential interest rate cut on the agenda for the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, how should investors navigate the bond market?
TCW Fixed Income Group chief investment officer and generalist portfolio manager Bryan Whalen joins Morning Brief to give insight into bond market movements and what investors need to know to manage their portfolios.
For those investors who kept most of their cash parked in savings accounts, after a potential interest rate cut, Whalen advises: “You’re going to want to be in… the most sensitive part to interest rate cuts are the front end of the curve. So you’re talking about the two-year and the five-year Treasury. Other kind of high quality bond, markets are a good place to go, like investment grade corporate bonds. They should perform pretty well, and so you’re going to get about a 4% yield. You’re going to get the diversification benefits in case your equities or other commodities go down in your portfolio and that’s, that’s what they’re supposed to do.”
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