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Despite a very cold December for much of the country, relatively few people across the United States are in line to get snow this week.
The Weather Channel published its outlook for the week, and it came with bad news for many who might be hoping to experience a white Christmas, which is defined as an inch of snow or more on the ground on the morning of Dec. 25.
Of course, this is weather we’re talking about so it is always subject to change.
Thawing Out A Little Too Soon?
After spending much of December under a blanket of white, will many people in the Midwest wake up to a scene out their window that could go on a classic postcard?
Probably not.
The National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration is projecting snow only for parts of the Upper Midwest, upstate New York, northern New England and part of the mountain West this week.
Folks elsewhere who have already had to dig out from under one or two snow storms this month appear to be out of luck despite dealing with the white stuff for weeks already.
In fact, less Christmas snow is expected across the country this year than last year, when a below average 26% had of the country had snow on the ground on Dec. 25.
On the flip side, the Cascades, Sierra and northern Rockies are likely to get more snow this week after having a warmer fall that depleted its snowpack.
Trending the Wrong Way
A veritable heat wave is expected for the week between Christmas and New Year’s Day.
A map from the NOAA shows nearly every state in the lower 48 will have above average temperatures, warmth at the highest in Texas and Oklahoma and dissipating to the north, east and west but still remaining above normal.
That is a direct contrast from the first half of December when O’Hare Airport in Chicago reported receiving almost as much snow as all of last winter.
That was part of a big snowstorm that covered much of the Midwest including Iowa, the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes and brought temperatures in the single-digits at times.
Weather.com notes Springfield, Ill, had nearly 19 inches, the most it has had early in the season since 1893.
How Common is a White Christmas?
According to The Weather Channel, those areas that will likely have a white Christmas this year are also the only ones that have one more than 50% of the time since 1991.
The NOAA says on average 36% of the lower 48 stats had snow on Christmas in a given year from 2003-2024, and not surprisingly the places that do tend to be located farther north on the map.
So if you get one in the Midwest, Great Plains or of course the South, consider yourself lucky.
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