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The Mariana Islands and Guam brace for the worst, as Super Typhoon Sinlaku steam rolls toward them. At this point, the storm’s eye could pass very close to—or make landfall on—Tinian and Saipan within the next 24 to 48 hours. However, even a slight shift in the storm’s track could significantly alter conditions across the island chain.
Due to Sinlaku’s immense size and powerful intensity, all islands in the region are expected to experience hazardous weather over the coming days. Areas closer to the storm’s center will face the most extreme conditions, including destructive winds, heavy rainfall, and flooding. The most severe impacts are anticipated from late Monday, April 13, through Wednesday morning, April 15 (local time).
Meanwhile, dangerous ocean conditions are already affecting the islands and will continue to worsen as the storm moves closer, increasing the risk of coastal flooding, high surf, and life-threatening marine hazards.
Guam and the Mariana Islands are no strangers to typhoons. These islands are frequently impacted by powerful storms, with the potential for tropical systems existing year-round. Even so, each storm brings its own risks and challenges. We can only hope for the best and keep the people of the islands in our thoughts as this system approaches.
Further forecast details
A very favorable atmospheric and oceanic environment is expected to fuel another short burst of rapid intensification in Typhoon Sinlaku, with peak winds forecast to reach 140–145 knots (over 160 mph) within the next 24 hours. This period of strengthening will occur as the storm accelerates northwestward, guided by a building extension of the near-equatorial ridge, which is expected to become the dominant steering pattern.
As Sinlaku continues to grow in size, its broad wind field will likely bring gale-force winds to the Mariana Islands shortly after the 24-hour timeframe. Although the storm is expected to reach its peak intensity before then, any weakening afterward should be gradual since environmental conditions will remain largely supportive of a strong system.
By about 72 hours, the storm is expected to begin turning northward and then northeastward as it curves around the southwestern edge of a strengthening ridge of high pressure to the east. During this phase, Sinlaku will likely encounter increasing vertical wind shear and some intrusion of dry air, both of which should lead to a more consistent and gradual weakening trend. Although, this storm hold good potential to start transitioning into an extratropical system around that time.
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