The June ISM manufacturing data fell short of expectations, reigniting speculation about a potential Federal Reserve rate cut. BCA Research chief US equity strategist Irene Tunkel joins Catalysts to share her insights on the central bank’s next moves.
Tunkel observes that “bad news appears to be good news” in this context. The slowing economic growth, she argues, creates conditions favorable for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. She anticipates the first cut could come by the end of the year, partly due to “political uncertainty.” However, Tunkel emphasizes that the crucial factor is whether the Fed’s rate cut is “reactive or proactive.”
“I would argue that it may not matter when the Fed exactly cuts interest rates, but it matters what they say, and what is the perception of the market about the trajectory of interest rates,” Tunkel tells Yahoo Finance.
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