rewrite this title Ethereum Price Completes Structure Break As Buyers Take Control, Why A Surge Above $4,400 Is Possible

Technical analysis shows that Ethereum’s price action is currently completing a market structure that shows signs of revival. After weeks of struggling below key levels, Ethereum now appears to have completed a market structure break, with a technical analyst pointing to $1,500 as the zone where buyers have regained control, and a break above $4,000.

Ethereum Structure Break And The $1,500 Turnaround Point

Crypto analyst SwallowAcademy, in a recent technical breakdown of Ethereum’s weekly candlestick chart, noted that buyers have successfully initiated a clean market structure break just above the $1,500 zone. Earlier this month, Ethereum briefly dropped as low as $1,415, a level that initially appeared to signal further downside. However, what followed was a sharp reaction from bullish traders who aggressively accumulated during that dip, effectively neutralizing the intense selling pressure that had driven the price down.

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This influx of buyer interest not only prevented a deeper breakdown but also laid the groundwork for a notable structural shift in market behavior. Since then, Ethereum’s price has exhibited signs of strength, consistently finding support during minor retracements around the $1,500 region. This repeated defense of support led to the formation of a market structure break, which is a technical formation that often signals a transition from bearish to bullish price action.

Interestingly, this structure break has seen the Ethereum price edge slowly upwards. This is a notable change, especially as the price is now climbing toward the $1,900 resistance region —a range that also aligns with the 50-week moving average and serves as a gateway to further upside. Breaking and closing above this level on the weekly timeframe could provide the necessary momentum for Ethereum to pursue higher targets, potentially signaling the beginning of a broader recovery trend. 

If bulls manage to secure an Ethereum break above $1,900, it could unlock a path to multiple upside levels outlined in SwallowAcademy’s analysis, with $2,800 and $4,400 as realistic medium-term targets.

FVG Fill, EMA Retest, And Why $4,400 May Be In Play

A closer look at the daily chart reveals a significant fair value gap (FVG) between $1,900 and $2,800, coinciding with a cluster of exponential moving averages that have yet to be retested. According to the analyst, filling this FVG is a “must-have” condition for a smoother and more sustainable rally, especially if Ethereum is to avoid the type of choppy behavior that plagued its price action in the first quarter of 2025.

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Considering the current momentum, Ethereum can easily close above the resistance at $1,900 on the daily timeframe. If sustained, this momentum should be sufficient to close above $1,900 on the weekly timeframe, fill the FVG, and surpass $2,800, which would then confirm the run to $4,000 on the weekly timeframe. Other price targets highlighted are at $2,300, $4,000, and $4,900.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,830.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com