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Home Cryptocurrency Ethereum

rewrite this title Ethereum Analyst Predicts A Bullish Q1 – Can ETH/BTC Ratio Push Above 0.04?

Sebastian Villafuerte by Sebastian Villafuerte
January 4, 2025
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rewrite this title Ethereum Analyst Predicts A Bullish Q1 – Can ETH/BTC Ratio Push Above 0.04?
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Ethereum has kicked off the new year with a strong performance, surging over 9% in just a few days. This rally has brought renewed optimism to the market, especially among analysts and investors who had grown concerned about Ethereum’s prolonged underperformance compared to Bitcoin. Over the past months, ETH struggled to maintain momentum, causing many to question its near-term potential.

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However, top analyst Daan recently shared an insightful chart that has shifted the narrative. According to Daan, Ethereum has historically shown significant activity during the first quarter of the year, even in periods where it lagged behind Bitcoin. This trend underscores Ethereum’s potential for a rebound as market dynamics shift in its favor.

While Ethereum’s price action is gaining strength, the next few weeks will be crucial. Investors are watching closely to see if ETH can sustain this momentum and reclaim dominance within the altcoin space. The market’s overall sentiment suggests that 2025 could be a pivotal year for Ethereum, with the Q1 trend potentially setting the tone for an impressive run ahead.

Ethereum Start To The Year Sparks Optimism

Ethereum has begun 2025 on an optimistic note, with investors and analysts watching closely to see if this momentum can sustain. While the start of the year has been strong, Ethereum’s performance will need to break away from past trends of underperformance relative to Bitcoin to truly thrive in the months ahead.

Top analyst Daan recently shared a detailed analysis of the ETH/BTC ratio on X, highlighting the historical significance of Q1 for Ethereum. According to Daan, Ethereum has often seen substantial action durin.g this period, even in years when it lagged behind Bitcoin.

ETH/BTC chart with Q1 highlights | Source: Daan on X

During the previous bull cycle in 2020 and 2021, the ETH/BTC ratio experienced significant surges that coincided with the start of an alt season. This historical data suggests that Ethereum’s performance in Q1 could set the tone for broader market activity.

For Ethereum to build on this promising start, the ~0.04 level in the ETH/BTC ratio stands as a critical resistance point. A decisive break above this level could reignite investor confidence and potentially lead to significant gains. However, failure to sustain momentum or surpass key levels might cause Ethereum to continue the broader trend of relative underperformance.

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The next few weeks will be pivotal. If Ethereum can leverage this Q1 strength and push past critical thresholds, 2025 could mark a standout year for the leading altcoin.

ETH Testing Critical Zone

Ethereum is trading at $3,595 after reaching a high of $3,629 yesterday, testing a critical level that could determine its short-term direction. The price has shown resilience, bouncing back from the late December dip, but bulls now face the challenge of breaking through this significant resistance to sustain upward momentum.

Ethereum testing crucial supply
Ethereum testing crucial supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

This level represents a crucial juncture for Ethereum. A breakout above $3,629, followed by a strong close, could signal the start of a bullish rally, potentially setting the stage for a move toward higher targets in the weeks to come. However, the market remains in a phase of recovery, with trading activity reflecting cautious optimism as investors weigh the potential for continued upward movement.

Despite this positive outlook, the path forward may require patience. Consolidation around the current levels is possible as the market seeks clarity and momentum builds. Bulls will need to maintain Ethereum’s position above $3,500 to ensure that the bullish structure remains intact.

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As the market begins to wake up from the seasonal correction, Ethereum’s performance at these levels will be critical. A decisive move in either direction could set the tone for the altcoin’s trajectory in the coming months, making this a key moment for investors and traders alike.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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