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Home Markets Stock Market

Is Nvidia’s Colossal 17,400% Run Coming to an End?

Adam O'Dell by Adam O'Dell
August 22, 2024
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Is Nvidia’s Colossal 17,400% Run Coming to an End?
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If you’d invested just $3,600 in Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA) back in February 2016 …

Your position would now be worth $642,000.

According to a recent study from Northwestern Mutual, that’s nearly half the amount needed for an average American to retire comfortably in 2024.

And you weren’t exactly making a longshot investment at the time, either.

NVDA’s 2016 annual revenue stood at an already-massive $6.9 billion — up 37% from the year before.

The company was already a world leader in cutting-edge gaming hardware. Its high-tech graphics processing units (GPUs) featured thousands upon thousands of independent cores, giving them rendering capabilities that were lightyears ahead of dual-core and quad-core CPUs.

Unlike the pre-rendered special effects we see in big-budget Hollywood blockbusters, Nvidia’s graphics cards allowed you to render entire digital worlds in real-time.

Hardcore gamers would eagerly fork over as much as $1,500 just to see their favorite games rendered in dazzling 4K or 8K resolution. You could use the same Nvidia card to power a virtual reality headset.

But then, starting around 2016, users began to realize their gaming hardware could do even more than that … much more …

Nvidia’s “Second Life” Through Crypto and AI

As it turned out, the unique architecture of modern GPUs made them vastly more effective than CPUs for tasks like cryptocurrency mining.

With its thousands of independent cores, a graphics card from Nvidia is 10X more efficient and more powerful than a typical CPU for mining crypto.

By the time cryptocurrency boomed in 2019, Nvidia’s GPUs had become the hardware of choice for crypto miners all over the world. Sales skyrocketed amid extremely high demand.

Miners were buying up so much of Nvidia’s output that the company developed “low hashrate” (LHR), with the crypto capabilities disabled, just to give gamers a chance to upgrade their hardware.

And even though the crypto mining market has cooled off, a handful of other new breakout mega trends have emerged to demand more GPUs than ever before.

AI is far and away the largest of these mega trends. According to a study from Intelligent Computing, the computational power required to sustain AI’s rise is doubling every 100 days.

If we want to unlock a 10X improvement in AI efficiency, we’ll need 10,000 times the computational power that we currently have on tap.

But AI is still in its infancy. So beyond asking ChatGPT to write an essay or make up a recipe, we have little real-world experience with AI-based programs. It’s hard for us to even imagine what’s going to be possible thanks to Nvidia’s hardware in the future.

Other new mega trends like high performance computing (HPC) have delivered even more immediate results…

The cloud-based gaming service Boosteroid serves more than 5.7 million gamers across three continents with a network of cutting-edge GPUs.

Boosteroid’s GPUs (AMD Radeon RX 7900 XT) cost $1,295 at retail. But through a monthly Boosteroid subscription, gamers can effectively “borrow” them for less than $9 per month.

This is the kind of technology that simply wasn’t possible just a few years ago.

Now, it’s taking the world by storm.

The End of a “Magnificent” Run?

From video games to world-changing AI research, Nvidia’s success story is one for the record books.

It’s the standard bearer for mega-cap “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks, and its 17,400% run seems to have been well-earned.

At the same time, Nvidia has also become a victim of its own success…

The company has become so popular that the other Big Tech stocks account for over 40% of Nvidia’s revenue.

That’s why Nvidia’s earnings announcement next week will be the biggest AI event of the year.

But all that Big Tech spending is a double-edged sword for AI.

While that’s great news for Nvidia’s bottom line…

It could also send the broader markets into a complete panic.

What we’re seeing today is the calm before the storm.

And Wednesday’s announcement could send shockwaves through the market.

For my complete report on NVDA’s upcoming earnings (and the $1 billion AI breakout that’s poised to start soaring), click here.

To good profits,

Adam O’Dell

Chief Investment Strategist, Money & Markets

**Conclusion:**

Nvidia’s incredible journey from gaming hardware giant to a key player in the fields of cryptocurrency mining, AI, and high-performance computing has been nothing short of astonishing. The company’s exponential growth, marked by a 17,400% increase in just a few years, is a testament to its innovative technology and strategic foresight. As Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of what is possible with its hardware, the future looks bright for both the company and the industries it serves.

However, as with any success story, there are challenges on the horizon. Nvidia’s dependence on other Big Tech stocks for a significant portion of its revenue presents both opportunities and risks. The upcoming earnings announcement will be a crucial moment for the company and the broader market. The impact of Nvidia’s performance on the AI sector could be profound, potentially causing market fluctuations and triggering new trends in technology investment.

In this rapidly evolving landscape, staying informed and making well-informed investment decisions is more important than ever. For the latest news and insights on topics like AI, cryptocurrency, and emerging technologies, be sure to visit “DeFi Daily News” for trending articles and updates. Embrace the future with confidence and seize the opportunities that lie ahead in the world of tech investing.



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