Sneaker maker Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) has witnessed a mix of financial performance following the shift to direct-to-customer sales and cutting ties with third-party retailers. The market eagerly anticipates the company’s first-quarter earnings, scheduled to be released on Thursday after the market closes.
In late June, Nike’s stock experienced a significant one-day drop after weak sales guidance was issued by management. Although the stock is showing signs of recovery, its relatively high valuation may deter potential investors. However, the company’s long-term outlook remains strong as Nike continues to dominate the sportswear market. There is optimism that under new leadership, the company will regain its former strength.
Q1 Report Expectations
As the Beaverton-based sportswear giant prepares to report its August-quarter results, analysts are eyeing an earnings per share of $0.52, reflecting a notable decrease from the $0.94 recorded in the same period last year. The consensus revenue estimate for Q1 stands at $11.65 billion, compared to $12.9 billion in the prior-year quarter. The report is set to be unveiled on Tuesday, October 1, at 4:15 pm ET.
Previously, Nike’s leadership had cautioned about a 10% decline in first-quarter revenue, primarily driven by a sluggish performance in NIKE Digital, weak wholesale orders, and subdued sales in Greater China. This guidance aligns with the perception that demand for Nike products has been waning due to a lack of innovation.
For the fourth quarter, Nike reported a net income of $1.50 billion or $0.99 per share, surpassing expectations for the fourth consecutive quarter. However, revenues dipped to $12.61 billion from $12.82 billion in the same period the previous year, missing analyst estimates. Despite higher apparel and equipment sales, a 4% decline in the core footwear segment offset the gains. NIKE Direct revenues reached $5.1 billion in the quarter.
Transition in Leadership
Last week, the company announced the retirement of CEO John Donahoe, who had faced criticism for the company’s weak sales performance. Donahoe will be succeeded by Elliott Hill, a veteran of the company with over three decades of experience before retiring in 2020. The market responded positively to the news, leading to a surge in the stock price. The new CEO faces the challenge of navigating stiff competition and regaining lost market share due to the shift in sales strategy, a process expected to take time.
Reflecting on the Q4 results, John Donahoe had stated a few months ago, “We’re sharpening our focus on sport, accelerating our pace and scale of innovation, driving bold storytelling, and elevating the marketplace to enhance brand distinction and consumer engagement. We have momentum building across all areas, particularly in our performance product portfolio. While there is work to be done, our teams are energized and moving swiftly to seize the opportunities ahead.”
On Tuesday, Nike’s stock opened at $86.20 and continued to trend upwards early in the trading session. The stock has been trading below the 12-month average of $95.10 for over three months.
Conclusion
As Nike prepares to release its Q1 2025 earnings, all eyes are on the sportswear giant amid changing market dynamics and leadership transitions. The company’s shift to direct-to-customer sales and the retirement of CEO John Donahoe have sparked both concerns and optimism among investors. With a focus on innovation and regaining lost market share, Nike’s performance in the first quarter will provide valuable insights into its future trajectory. Stay tuned for the latest updates on Nike’s earnings and strategic initiatives.
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