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The Ethereum price has returned above the $3,800 price level on the back of a 5% increase in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, this Ethereum price increase has come amidst a simultaneous increase in the performance of ETH against BTC in recent weeks.
According to crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, this recent price action might actually be the earliest stages of Ethereum’s price increase against Bitcoin within the next six to 12 months.
Analysing The ETH/BTC Pair
The last two weeks were highlighted by a consolidation of the Bitcoin price below the $99,000 price level as investors continued to await a break above $100,000. Amidst this Bitcoin price correction, the Ethereum price kickstarted a notable increase from the $3,340 level on November 26. This rally allowed Ethereum and many other altcoins to outperform Bitcoin, leading to speculation about whether the crypto market is now in the initial phases of a long-awaited altcoin season.
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According to technical analysis from popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, this might be the earliest recovery stage for the ETH/BTC pair. Taking to social media platform X, Cowen remarked that the ETH/BTC pair recently bottomed out at 0.03187, which aligns closely with his previously forecasted worst-case scenario of 0.03.
Back in 2023, Cowen had predicted a substantial decline in the ETH/BTC pair. Back then, the ETH/BTC pair was trading around 0.066, but he predicted that it could drop by over 45% at that point. Interestingly, this prediction has materialized as Ethereum’s valuation relative to Bitcoin has been on a decline since the last quarter of 2023 up until recent weeks.
Fast forward to December 2024; Ethereum has rebounded and is performing well against Bitcoin. Particularly, the ETH/BTC pair is currently around 0.0396, up 24% from a 2024 low of 0.03187. This resurgence prompted Cowen to re-examine the ETH/BTC pair, and his outlook has turned positive.
Historical Trends Suggest A Seasonal Rebound
Cowen highlighted Ethereum’s historical tendencies, noting that the ETH/BTC pair often gains momentum in December or January. If this trend holds and the ETH/BTC pair gains momentum in December, Ethereum may already be in the early stages of recovery. However, if it was to wait until January, a sweep of prior lows at 0.03187 and possibly 0.03 remains possible but increasingly unlikely. He added that within a few months, the exact bottom might become irrelevant.
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Looking ahead, Cowen projected a 6-12 month horizon for significant gains in the ETH/BTC pair. Such a move would be highlighted by the Ethereum price outperforming the Bitcoin price and a full altcoin season.
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $3,845. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has finally broken above the $100,000 mark and is currently trading at $103,000. The ETH/BTC pair is currently trading at 0.03755.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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