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Polymarket will list and operate the markets while Parcl will provide independent index data and settlement reference values.
Real estate is one of the most fragmented markets in the world, which Parcl’s daily indices try to simplify, allowing a simpler way to trade housing outcomes.
The real-time housing data and on-chain real estate platform offer clear settlement rules and public, auditable resolution data.
Polymarket, one of the leading prediction market platforms, has partnered with Parcl, a real-time housing data and on-chain real estate platform, to introduce housing-focused markets that settle against Parcl’s published price indices, offering a data-driven reference point for forecasting where home prices are headed.
According to the press release seen by NFTgators, Polymarket will list and operate the markets while Parcl will provide independent index data and settlement reference values. The two companies seek to simplify one of the most fragmented industries in the world by leveraging Parcl’s daily indices to enable a simpler way to trade housing outcomes.
“Housing is the largest asset class in the world, but it’s still hard to express a clean view on price direction without taking on property-level complexity, leverage, or long timelines,” the companies wrote in an announcement on Monday.
The companies believe they can provide clear settlement rules and public, auditable resolution data powered by Parcl’s daily indices with Polymarket’s event-market structure.
“Prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum and represent a paradigm shift in how views are expressed, and truth is identified,” said Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl. “Parcl is the source of truth for real-estate pricing, and we believe real estate should be a major category within the prediction-market ecosystem. Polymarket is a pioneer in the space, and we’re excited to partner with them.”
The partnership will initially focus on major U.S. housing markets, with template questions tied to index movements across defined periods, like whether a city’s home price index finishes up or down over a month, quarter, or year, as well as threshold-style outcomes that settle against published index values.
The first rollout will be in phases, starting with high-liquidity cities and adding more metros depending on user demand.
Matthew Modabber, CMO of Polymarket, commented: “Parcl’s daily housing indices give us a strong foundation to launch housing markets that settle transparently and consistently. Real estate should be a first-class category in prediction markets, and this partnership is how we get there.”
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